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ESC Reporter | January 21, 2018

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The winner of Eurovision 2015 - according to the bookmakers

The winner of Eurovision 2015 – according to the bookmakers
Emma Kiernan

The grand final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2015 will take place tonight and everybody is asking the same question: Who will be the winner?

Below we take a look at what bookies are predicting will happen tonight.


The winners and losers

Sweden remains a clear favourite to win the contest at 6/4. Since her performance at semi-final one on Tuesday, Russia’s Polina Gagarina has climbed to second favourite to win the contest at 10/3, replacing Italy, who are now third favourites at 4/1. Belgium shares fourth place with Australia, both at 10/1.

It seems that Serbia have massively improved their chances of winning since Bojana Stamenov’s performance on Tuesday night. The odds for Serbia to win the contest have changed from 400/1 to 40/1.

According to bookies, Montenegro, Germany and Poland are all least likely to win the contest at odds of 250/1.


Sweden 6/4                            Greece 125/1

Russia 10/3                             United Kingdom 150/1

Italy 4/1                                   Cyprus 150/1

Belgium 10/1                          Hungary 150/1

Australia 10/1                        Albania 150/1

Estonia 33/1                           Lithuania 150/1

Serbia 40/1                             Romania 150/1

Norway 40/1                          France 175/1

Latvia 50/1                             Armenia 200/1

Azerbaijan 66/1                     Austria 200/1

Spain 80/1                              Montenegro 250/1

Israel 80/1                              Germany 250/1

Slovenia 80/1                         Poland 250/1

Georgia 100/1


The fan favorites

On both Tuesday and Thursday, bookies correctly predicted nine out of the ten qualifiers from each semi-final.

This year the winner of the OGAE voting was Italy, who emerged as the fan favourite of 2015. They were closely followed by Sweden and Estonia, in second and third place.


Things can still change

Last year, the bookies favourite to win during Eurovision week was Sweden’s Sanna Nielsen, who eventually finished in third place. 2014 winner, Austria’s Conchita Wurst became the bookies favourite only after she had performed in the grand final.


Watch the grand final of the 60th Eurovision Song Contest tonight at 21:00 CET on the web player or on their official Youtube channel.

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